Last week I went 9-5, lets see if we can't improve upon that. My season record is tracked on my buddy Zach Baker's website. Check it out at
www.vitaminz.blogspot.com. Chris Ermisch is a fantastic football mind, check out his picks at
http://attempt3.blogspot.com. On we go.
Cards vs. Rams
Kurt Warner plays his former mates......who just happen to be a lot better than this Cardinals team which is ABSOLUTE GARBAGE. I've seen better play at my Grandma's house when the old church ladies come over for bridge club. The Rams will burn this team up. Curtis, Bruce, Holt, they will destroy the Cards, its really not worth getting into. Rams get back to .500, the Cards continue to live in misery.
Bears vs. Panthers
The Bears offense showed its true colors last week against the 49ers. Sure they had to be one dimensional because of the wind, but this just isnt a very good offense. I know Thomas Jones is back, but for how long? They are running into the hottest defense, and perhaps the hottest team in the league. Da Bears are 4-1 at home, but they've yet to play a team like the Panthers at Soliders Field. The only team that beat them at home was the Cincinatti Bengals, and the 4 teams they beat at home all have losing records. Plus there is all of this hoopla going on in regards to Olin Kreutz and Fred Miller. No drama in Carolina, they are going to tie their franchise record with their 7th straight win in this game.
Lions vs. Cowboys
Fitting that the two teams who ALWAYS play host on Thanksgiving, will play each other on the Sunday before the Holiday. Steve Mariucci needs to stick with one running back. Artose Pinner and Shawn Bryson are has beens who are situational and one dimensional backs. Until he committs more to Kevin Jones, they are not going to get any consistency with their running game. This musical quarterbacks game isn't working either. Harrington had a great week against the Cardinals, and he has been rewarded with a nice warm spot on the bench. Dallas is coming off of an emotional victory, and their offense is very balanced. Dallas is 6th in total defense and 12th in total offense. Detroit has great players at the skill positions, but they wont have enough to earn their 2nd game away from home this year.
Titans vs. Jaguars
Surprisingly, the Titans have DOMINATED this series. According to nfl.com, the Titans have won 6 of the last 7 in this meeting and 10 of the last 13. The Jags are a shaky 2-2 on the road this year, and it will be Greg Jones at RB in place of Taylor agian. Jimmy Smith's nose is away from goaline's but he is hurt, as is Ernest Wilford. The Titans are coming off a bye week, and they have had time to rest a lot of their injured players. The Jags have the best pass defense in the league, but they have struggled against the run where they rank 22nd. Call me crazy, but I'm calling for the upset here. Titans win a close one.
Dolphins vs. Browns
This is a game that we will be forced to watch (If you live in my region of the country) with 2 awful football teams, just waiting for the season to end. Sage Rosenfels might make his 2nd start of his career of Gus Frerotte can't go. These guys let one get away from them last weekend against the Patriots, and it's going to be hard to let that go this week. Saban returns to Cleveland since he coached there back in '95, and Chris Chambers, who played his H.S. ball at Bedford is making a homecoming as well. The Dolphins are piss poor on the road, and Cleveland is respectable at home. Reuben Droughns is starting to run better for the Browns and the Dolphins are slightly below the curve against the run. The Dolphins continue to struggle on the road where they've lost 10 of their last 12, and the Browns win their 4th game of the year.
Saints vs. Patriots
The Patriots continue to get bitten by the injury bug. Corey Dillon will miss the game with a vaginal infection....oops, I mean his calf hurts. Brady has a sore shoulder but he will play. The Saints surprisingly have the 5th best pass defense in the league. They will force the Patriots to run the ball, which they dont do very well (79.1 PG, 29th in the league). For some strange reason, I'm feeling an upset here. I know the Pats are riding high after avoiding the upset last week against the Dolphins, but I sense a let down here as the Saints win their first game since October 2nd when they beat Buffalo 19-7.
Redskins vs. Raiders
First meeting between these two teams in nearly seven years. The Redskins surprisingly are very balanced on offense. Clinton Portis is running downhill finally and where in the hell did this Brunell to Santanna Moss connection come from? Its like the re-incarnation of Rypen to Art Monk. The Raiders are a team with talent but they are underachieving. Quietly, Kerry Collins has kept his mistakes to a minimum, but that won't matter in this game. The Raiders don't run the ball enough, and they wont be able to pass against the Redskins who have the 9th best pass defense in the league. The Redskins go 5-0 at home with the win.
Eagles vs. Giants
Again, I'm with Mark "Stink" Schlereth on the Eagles, THEY ARE DONE. Last week's loss on Monday night was King Slender's backbreaker in Pro Wrestling on the Nintendo Entertainment System. The Eagles will not be able recover from a devastating loss like that. The Giants do an incredible job of throwing the ball, and they'll have no trouble doing that against the Eagles who rank 24th against the pass this season. Mike McMahon, Vince McMahon, Ed McMahon, Jim McMahon, it doesnt matter who is at QB for the Eagles, they will lose this game as their disastrous season continues.
Chargers vs. Bills
There are several reasons to pick the Chargers in this game. They are playing a team that is 0-4 on the road, the Chargers have the best defense against the rush and that is all that the Bills can really do on offense. Plus they are coming off a bye week. J.P. Losman gets the start at QB here for the Bills who really need a victory on the road badly. This is a tough team to figure out. They cannot stop the run (31st in the league) and that is not good news, since they are facing the best rusher and best player in the league. It would be a minor miracle, and a MAJOR upset if the Bills were to win this game, I'm going with the Chargers.
Steelers vs. Ravens
Perhaps no team has underachieved as much as the Ravens have this season. I really thought this was going to be a special year for them. It has been an absolute disaster. No Ed Reed and no Ray Lewis again, that means the Steeler offense will have no problems getting it going with whomever behind center. People in the Steel city are calling for Randel El to take the snaps, but it looks like its going to be Tommy Maddox. The Steelers have the 3rd best defense against the run this year, and as we've learned, the Ravens cannot throw the ball very effectively, so the Steelers will improve to 5-0 on the road this year.
Falcons vs. Bucs
This game is absolutely huge for both teams. They are chasing the Panthers who look unstoppable at this point. A loss here could mean one of these teams will miss the playoffs. Chris Simms looked very good last week against a good Washington Defense. The Bucs have the 5th best rushing defense but they are facing the BEST rushing attack in the NFL. That is where this game will be won or lost. The Falcons usually play pretty well at home, and they will rebound from last week's humiliating loss against the Packers.
Seahawks vs. 49ers
This is a mismatch. The 9ers played in a very difficult situation last week, and allowed a 109 yard kick return for a touchdown, OUCH. The Seahawks traditionally havent been very good on the road, but I'll make the exception here. The 9ers have nobody who can stop Shawn Alexander, that guy is unreal. The Seattle Defense is playing great, though they do give up a few big plays through the air. This one really shouldn't be close, as the Seahawks increase their lead in a pittiful NFC West.
Bengals vs. Colts
The game of the week by far. This should be very exciting, considering all of the marquee matchups. The Bengals have had 2 weeks to prepare, and I think that will help them a ton in this game. They will give a little in the ground game because Edgerrin James is fantastic, plus the Bengals are 24th against the run this season. On offense, I think Carson Palmer will find wrinkles in that defense and he'll make the most of them. This situation is very similar to that of the Chiefs vs. Bengals game a few years ago where the Bengals knocked off the unbeaten and became the talk of the NFL for weeks. I predicted that upset, and I will predict this one also. The extra week to prepare will help the Bengals force a few turnovers and set them up nicely on offense. The 72 Dolphins pathetically celebrate in the process.
Jets vs. Broncos
I feel bad for Herman Edwards, they have been absolutely destroyed by the injuries this season, and this week they face a team that has virtually no injuries whatsoever. This has become a rebuilding year for the Jets, and they are 0-5 on the road this season, playing in Denver where the Broncos have yet to lose a game this season. Like I said earlier in that Bills/Bolts game, it would be a minor miracle and a MAJOR upset if the Jets win, I'll go with the Broncos.
Texans vs. Chiefs
I really dont see the Texans winning many more games this year. The Chiefs had high hopes at the beginning of the year, but when the smoke clears after week 17, they will find themselves in front of only the Raiders in the AFC West. However in this game Larry Johnson will continue to roll and run downhill against the Texans rush defense which ranks dead last in the NFL. I dont really see Texans doing much on offense. If they do make it close, then they are going to have to throw the ball, and they are going to have to protect David Carr to do that, and we all know thats not happening.
Vikings vs. Packers
I'd go with the Vikings if this game were in Minnesota. However, since its in Lambeau, and the Vikings really cant win on the road, I'll go with the Pack. That pains me in some way because its a wasted victory. I want them to have a good pick in the draft next year, so that they can address one of their 12903859083593 43 problems. In this game, they will find a way to beat Minnesota who was lucky last week, scoring their only touchdowns on returns on punts, kickoffs and interceptions. The Vikings battled back and got a way with one the last time they played, and this week, the Pack is riding an emotional high after that upset over Atlanta. Their defense has really overachieved this season. Jim Bates has done a nice job with that unit. I think they'll feed off of last week's win and take care of business on Monday night.
Again thanks to NFL.com for their help with this post.